When I started seriously handicapping NFL football over 5 years ago, I never had the intention of becoming a "tout." Had that been the case I would've made the move years ago because I hit the ground running as a winner and have not come close to having a losing season even once.
This year, though, I had already decided to start a member website, the only question being whether it would be free for the remainder of the season or not.
If you're reading this you're probably aware of my phenomenal record through the first 5 weeks of this season. So yes, I see nothing wrong with seeking a little compensation for the money I've made for any who've followed me, and from those who were unfortunate enough to discover the value of my services only after I'd stopped giving it away for free for years, lol.
It has been an unprecedented run, and is in some part due to the very hard work I put into overhauling and improving my spreadsheet, and in some part due to luck as well. I've caught more than my fair share of bounces so far, whereas usually I feel like I win in spite of getting more bad breaks than good, lol.
A little more "touting" of my own record and abilities here before I list the services I'll be providing for a reasonable fee.
I’ve posted my NFL selections and lines for the 2000, and 2004 through the current 2008 seasons at TheRx.com (formerly theprescription.com). Feel free to ask anyone who’s been there for more than a few months what my reputation and record have been. An average season for me has typically seen about a 50% growth in a gambling bankroll, where my average bet size has typically been less than 1% of the bankroll per play. So there’s been extremely good capital growth with almost no risk. This season my bankroll is already approaching 50% growth with an average bet size of .84% of a unit per play.
How have I been able to consistently outperform the stock market (and oh, how disparate are our fortunes THIS season, lol) by a staggering amount? It’s not simple, but the simple answer is that I create sharper lines than the sportsbooks initially post and I bet the opening lines getting tremendous value on my plays before the market adjusts.
Even against closing lines my lines perform well, as evidenced by my record at thepredictiontracker.com last year and this year. I do what the sharps, syndicates, wise-guys – whatever you want to call them, also do. We all compete against each other for the early value on the lines. It’s the professional, winning method for sports betting. People have tracked my opening bets over the course of the season and seen how I’ve consistently been on the right side of line moves.
Two seasons ago I tracked publicly in my forum threads at TheRx my predictions for line moves at the very moment the lines were released. Suffice it to say, the final tally was a complete blowout when counting positive points when the line moved in the direction I predicted, and negative points when it moved the opposite way.
There will be the occasional game where a line moves a half or full point in the opposite way that I expect, but I beat the books to the punch on virtually every significant line move. I don’t have to rely on waiting until some of the value has been sucked out of a line to see which way the money is coming, which is a big advantage.
Are there any touts out there that don’t offer their plays later in the week into potentially dead lines? I don’t know. I’ve never followed a tout in spite of having respect for a few worthy handicappers that have marketed their services in the past.
I will provide my subscribers with my lines and recommended plays at the very same time the lines are first opened up for betting.
That’s a big, big advantage over what even a legitimate handicapper usually provides. Anyone familiar with my betting knows that I’m a big volume, small risk player, frequently getting 50% of my bankroll into action on any given Sunday. It’s what the professionals do. I’ve added a link to the 2+2 sportsbetting forum that has an excellent FAQ section about the basics required to be a winning sports bettor, so that I don’t have to cover a lot of the same ground.
I’ll also be alerting my subscribers to plays that are recommended throughout the week based on line moves or injury updates.
Getting closer to game day, there’ll also be updates as more bets become available to play and any late plays based on anti-steam line moves.
I’ve been very successful with 2nd half plays since building a halftime line generator last year and will also be sending those plays out in time to be bet.
At the password protected blog for subscribers, I’ll be doing write-ups for all of the games in separate posts so that subscribers can ask questions or offer opinions on each game with my continued input throughout the week. A mini-forum, if you will.
The price for my years of work, unmatched winning record, and continued tireless efforts to build bankrolls? Hard to put a number on, lol, but I’m going to start with the extremely affordable price of 60$ for a four week blocks, just 15$ per week.
Most touts charge quite a bit more, don’t have a third of my ability, and spread their time amongst the many sports being played this year. And like I said, they almost always offer up their plays into stale lines.
Next year, who knows? I’ll have a full-fledged website up then with even more valuable information for serious handicappers, and maybe the prices will change, but I want to keep prices reasonable for even small players.
For medium to large players, what I offer for the price will probably be the biggest bargain you’ve ever seen in your life, other than the free services I’ve been offering up for years now, lol.
Just looking at the savings you’ll be making based on the line moves means my services are ridiculously cheap, regardless of the outcomes of the games (and yeah, you know my record when it comes to that, too).
I’ve always had more good weeks than bad weeks, but even in a non-winning week you can rest assured you got your money in the pot with the best odds.
If you have questions or wish to subscribe, contact me at the email listed here or at thesportscruncher@hotmail.com, and I’ll provide you with answers or paypal instructions, as that will be the only method of payment I’ll be accepting this year.
As always, my information and plays are for entertainment purposes only, and I accept no liability for any actions taken on anyone’s part as a result of my recommendations. Pretty sure I’ll always need this disclaimer thing at the bottom of my blog sites, lol.
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