Monday, October 20, 2008

MNF Props Week #7

Adding for 1 Unit:

Denver 1st to make a First Down (-135)
This is almost identical to the scenario in the Saints/Vikings game 2 weeks ago where the Saints were highly likely to get the ball first in the game, which they did, and made a First down two plays into the game. The line on this play for the Saints went up to -180 before kickoff.

Over 3 Field Goals (-115 BookMaker -- the same play is -140 at 5Dimes...? lol)
Lots of offense, and two accurate kickers with strong legs.

1/2 Unit:
NE to Make Shortest FG (-120)
The Patriots have a worse red zone offense and defense so far this year.

Denver to score 1st (+115 5Dimes)

Kind of curious that 5Dimes still has this soft of a line when you consider that Denver will almost certainly start the game with the ball and have taken the first possession for a score many times this season (if memory serves).

BookMaker has the line for this play at -105, by comparison.

Went 5 for 5 on MNF props 2 weeks ago, so let's see if lightening strikes twice.

I also like the Under 9.5 punts, but the juice on that is -150 right now, which is rather unappetizing. Still probably has value, though, I might look into it. Okay -- just checked. Both of these teams have 1 game each this year that had more than 9 punts in it. Considering how weak both defenses are the line for this play should be closer to -200.

1/2 Unit: Under 9.5 Punts (-150)

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