2011 NFL Week 04 Results

We got off to a great start on the morning games, up over 6 units, but then things cooled off from there on out and we finished up the week at about the same mark, up a little over 6 units. We swept our strong round robin of 3 teasers, which was nice. As as good breaks for us, I can only really think of Denver scoring in the 4th quarter on 4th and 7 to break a push on their Team Total and make the 2nd half Over play a winner. 2nd half bad luck seemed more abundant: we went 5-2 on Team Total plays, with the two losses coming because BUF couldn't score 7 2nd half points, and NYJ couldn't score 3 2nd half points (in FG range and Sanchez throws the pick six). That was too bad, as we were crushing Team Total plays, cashing the Over on TEN and CAR before halftime, pushing DEN at halftime, and we had St. Louis at Under 21 with zero points at halftime. Jason Campbell's interception at the NE 5, an OAK penalty at the one leading to another non TD scoring drive, and NE's goal line failure to score late in the 4th all conspired to lose the Over in that game for us, which still had a chance to push if OAK converts the last minute 2-point conversion, which they didn't. We lost another 2nd half play when CAR scored in the last 5 seconds, and would've pushed a larger 2nd half play if they made the subsequent 2-point conversion, which they didn't. It was fun to see SF upset PHI, but that score with 3+ minutes left cost us the Under. The Monday Night game was definitely our luckiest game of the week, as IND's 2 big passing plays for TDs helped the +10 bet on them never be in jeopardy, but wasn't helping the Under 42, which did ultimately win by 1 point as the result of 3 missed field goals in the game. We benefited from some missed PHI field goals as well, so this was definitely the first week where missed field goals helped us instead of hurting us. A solid week that was almost a great double digit winning week, but it puts us up 9.8 units including the preseason, and up Over 6 units for the regular season. Oh, it's also worth mentioning that we crushed the market on line moves, ending up 14.5 points ahead. In the only real head-scratching line move this past week, CAR/CHI going down when I loved the Over, I beat the market badly on that one, as the Over cashed against the closing number by halftime. Solid, baby.