Tuesday, October 25, 2011

2011 NFL Week 07 Results

Continued frustration in Sports Cruncher Nation as we were unable to turn a profit for the 3rd straight week, being just barely down at -.38 of a unit. The play of the week on the SD/NYJ Under 45 should have been a sure winner, but couldn't overcome the fumble return touchdown the Chargers scored less than 2 minutes into the game. The Chargers ended up with less than 300 yards of offense, the Jets less than 400, so yeah, this game should have stayed well Under. I will admit to a couple of awful picks on the week, on TEN and the SEA/CLE Over. Man, how wrong were those ones, lol. Live, and hopefully learn, I certainly put notes into my handicapping tips file. 2nd half bets bailed us out for the 2nd time in 3 weeks, as we hit really well there. Funny, as last week they started 0 for 6 before hitting a 1/2 unit winner on the final game. A common thread continued this week, and it's been a royal pain in the ass in it's pursuit of us -- turnovers in a team's own territory when we have both that team and the Under involved in plays. The first 4 turnovers that went against us on Sunday were all turned into touchdowns against. Totals were slightly down this week, with the 1.5 unit top play being the big difference. Overall totals capping has remained strong, but picks on sides have just been a mix of poor luck and poor plays. It's been enough to make me make some alterations to my normal handicapping on sides, but that is not a bad thing, it's always good to try and improve.

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