Monday, August 17, 2015
New Sports Cruncher Website for 2015 College Football!
So many new tools to work with this year, including my lines for all games and the new TSC MUGs. Find it all HERE!
Tuesday, September 25, 2012
Monday, September 24, 2012
Fare Thee Well, NFL & Your *#@%ing Replacement Refs.
I'd already decided to hang up my NFL handicapping cleats for the season and only do NCAA football -- I don't have time to do both, and then SEA goes and scores a 24 yard touchdown with no time remaining to make me a small loser on the NFL season instead of small winner...talk about a sign. Sheesh. Not a lucky weekend, not at all.
So yeah, this weekend just seemed so random to me (I was still leaning on last year's stats, normally I start using current year stats only beginning in week 4) -- and usually I'm fine with that early in the season, as my numbers get stronger as the year progresses. But I literally don't have time to play enough poker and spend time with the family at the rate I'm going. I also started playing disc golf this year, and I'm addicted to it, so I'm picking the healthy hobby over the stress of NFL capping. I may come back to it at some point in the future, I don't know. It's been fun, and profitable (though not as profitable as poker), but I'm enjoying the NCAA more, so...
If you're used to me only as an NFL guy check out my NCAA stuff. I was a loser on the season last year in NCAA (had a bad stretch of luck for a few weeks that killed my season), so we'll see how it goes this season. If I hit a real bad week in NCAA and drop into the negative I may also just call it a year there.
Monday, September 17, 2012
Saturday, September 15, 2012
NCAA Football Results Through Week #3
That's actually week #2 results above (minus the 2nd half plays which I threw up late online and lost some on -- I usually don't post those for NCAA and won't in the future, lol).
In week #1 I was 3-3 so down .3 units of juice there as well.
Monday, September 10, 2012
This Week's Plays
NFL Thread: http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=921356
NCAA Thread: http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=921353&page=1
Wednesday, September 5, 2012
2012 Week #2 NCAA Football Plays
1 Unit each:
South Florida/Nevada Over 54
Nebraska -5
Ball St. +27.5
W. Kentucky +40
Akron +23.5
UL-Lafayette +3
USC/Syracuse Over 59
UTEP +7.5
UTEP/Ole Miss Under 55.5
Louisiana Tech -3.5
Louisiana Tech/Houston Under 60.5
Oklahoma State -10.5
2012 Week #1 NFL Plays
1 Unit each:
MIA/HOU UNDER 43
ATL ML (-125)
ATL/KC OVER 41.5
OAK +1
SD/OAK UNDER 47.5
CAR -1 (-125)
2/3 Unit each:
PIT +1
JAC +3.5
See comments for any additional plays.
Monday, August 27, 2012
2012 NFLX Week 4 Plays
http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=918718
All plays will be posted at the link.
Wednesday, August 22, 2012
NFLx Week #3 Plays
All my posting for this week will be done here: http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=917797
Monday, August 13, 2012
2012 NFL Preseason Week #2 Plays
1 Unit Each:
CLE/GB OVER 39 (FANGLE PLAY OF THE WEEK)
PHI/NE OVER 40
ATL -3.5
TEN/TB UNDER 37
DET/BAL OVER 37.5
MIA/CAR OVER 36
BUF/MIN UNDER 36
SF/HOU UNDER 36
DEN -2.5
2/3 Unit Each:
TEN +2.5
WAS +1
I will probably be adding plays on BAL & MIN later in the week.
***Adding DAL/SD Under 37 for 1 Unit*** It's a pretty strong fangle play.
Monday, February 20, 2012
2011 NFL Final Results (6 of 7 winning seasons)
Had a good playoff run to cap off an otherwise mediocre winning season. We had some terrible luck on sides early in the season, a stretch where when picking all sides I was near 50% but on games bet was well below that. The end result was that I never pulled out of the red on sides for the season. I've actually done that before; been a small loser on sides for a season but a pretty good winner overall because of success in the other categories.
Since pro style teasers are hard to come by nowadays with fewer book options for US players and many books playing games with their numbers to avoid being hit by pro style teasers the profit from teasers has predictably come way down from where it was years ago. My best overall category this year was bets on Team Total points. I did really, really well on those -- they are one of the absolute best ways to take advantage of key scoring numbers when wagering.
We saved an amazing number of points against closing numbers this year, around 150. I haven't always kept track of the total number of points saved, but the last season I did it was also over 100. This is evidence of being on the sharp side of the market, for better or worse -- usually better, as I've finished up a winner in 6 of the 7 seasons I've handicapped the NFL using my complex spreadsheet system to look for line value.
2011 NFL Playoffs Results
The numbers really shone in the playoffs, as I turned a profit in every week, which was a nice way to end an otherwise mediocre winning season.
Saturday, December 31, 2011
Wednesday, December 21, 2011
Wednesday, December 7, 2011
NFL 2011 WEEK 13 RESULTS
Had a good week in spite of the Monday Night letdown by the Jags. If they could've scored just one 2nd half touchdown we would've hit the 2nd half parlay to make us a small winner on the game. As is, we're now up 9.9 units on the year. Team Totals continue to be strong performers, going 3-1 this week.
2
Tuesday, November 29, 2011
2011 NFL Week 12 Results
Had a monster Sunday bookended by a lousy Thanksgiving Day and awful Monday Night game. +7.8 units for the week, which gets us back into the black for the season at +6.5 units. For the regular season now I'm +113 points against closing line moves, which is huge. Averaging almost 10 points of line savings a week is such an incredible value. Shame it hasn't translated into more actual profit, though, lol.
Monday, November 21, 2011
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