2009 NFL Preseason Week #1 Lines are Ready...

...and posted at the new site for subscribers along with recommended plays.

The New Site is Up

Hi,the site is up at http://www.sportscruncher.com so the blogspot has been dropped from the name. The site will be much easier to navigate, and will host all content for both subscribers and the general public.

2009 NFL Preseason -- I'm In

For the first time, I'm going to take a crack at the NFL preseason this year. As a spreadsheet guy, clearly it's not a natural fit for my usual system of getting a few games of data into the system and going from there. That being said, I've done a lot of research on successful preseason handicapping and am excited (with mild trepidation) to throw the numbers out the window and look at the goals and motivations for each team in each game in order to profile the likely winner. So get your bankroll in order, as our goal is to boost it before the regular season even gets under way.

NFL 2008 SEASON FINAL RESULTS

SIDES: +29.1 UNITS
TOTALS: +35 UNITS
TEASERS: +10.6 UNITS
HALVES: +23.4 UNITS
QUARTERS: +4 UNITS
PROPS, PARLAYS & TEAM TOTALS: +26.7 UNITS

+128.9 UNITS TOTAL
AVERAGE BET SIZE = .92 UNITS
+139.8 AVERAGE SIZE BETS
+11.33% RETURN ON INVESTMENT ON ALL BETS

A +5% ROI is considered phenomenal, I more than doubled that last season. I work very hard at what I do and the results reflect that.

YES, I WILL BE BACK FOR THE 2009 SEASON. Discounted season packages will be available starting in August.

Super Bowl Results

Down a tiny amount for the Super Bowl, would have been up a good amount if not for Pittsburgh's miracle touchdown return before halftime, as that killed a couple of large plays.

Week #20 Plays & Results 2008

+6.14 Units. 3 solid winning weeks in the playoffs.

My Record, Through Week #20 (+ the Past 4 Years)

From posted plays at 2 online forums through week #7, and plays posted for subscribers after that:

Sides & Money Lines: +28.1 Units
Totals: +37.4 Units
Teasers: +10.6 Units
Halves (Primarily second): +24.5 Units
Quarters: +4 Units
Props & Parlays & Team Totals: +24.4 Units

Total: +129.1 Units

Average Bet Size = .92 Units, +140.1 Average Sized Bets
ROI = 11.52%

Here are the links to my past season's year end results. One thing to keep in mind is that in the past my average sized bet was nearer to a half unit, unlike now, where it's closer to (but less than) a full unit.

http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=547034&page=5 2007 -- +49.5 Average Sized Bets

http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=450890 2006 -- +29 Average Sized Bets

http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=345443 2005 -- +14.5 Units, probably in the +25 Average Sized Bets range.

http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=258707 2004 -- +30.5 Units, probably in the +55 Average Sized Bets range (58% on all Units bet)

Divisional Round Playoffs 2008 Plays & Results

Wildcard Round Plays & Results 2008

Solid winning week. The BAL/MIA game was the only one to show a loss. The week would've been about 3.5 units better if Westbrook hadn't of popped that 71 yard touchdown in the 4th quarter! Still, I couldn't be too upset that the biggest play of the week, the Under 42 in the MIN/PHI stayed Under after 30 points in the first half. 2nd half plays stayed hot, going 4 for 4.